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Match prediction · League Two

Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley

Sat 14 Nov · 15:00 UK time · Vale Park

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Accrington Stanley Away +1.5

For this to come in, Accrington Stanley must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Port Vale

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 0–2
  5. ✓ 4–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–2 v Rochdale Either team to win ✓
  2. L 0–2 at York City York City win ✓
  3. D 1–1 at Gillingham Gillingham Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 v Chesterfield Chesterfield Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 1–0 v Grimsby Town Grimsby Town Away +1.5 ✓

Accrington Stanley

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✕ 3–1
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✕ 5–0
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v Northampton Town Northampton Town Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 5–0 at Rochdale Rochdale or draw ✕
  3. D 1–1 at York City York City win ✕
  4. W 3–1 v Gillingham Gillingham Away +1.5 ✕
  5. D 0–0 at Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic or draw ✓

Last meetings

Port Vale wins 1 Draws 2 Accrington Stanley wins 2
  1. 1 Feb 2025 Port Vale 2–1 Accrington Stanley
  2. 21 Sep 2024 Accrington Stanley 2–2 Port Vale
  3. 7 Apr 2023 Accrington Stanley 3–0 Port Vale
  4. 7 Feb 2023 Port Vale 1–1 Accrington Stanley
  5. 20 Jan 2018 Accrington Stanley 3–2 Port Vale

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.