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Match prediction · League Two

York City vs Accrington Stanley

Tue 20 Oct · 19:45 UK time

Our call
York City win
Model confidence 64%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

York City

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 4–0
  2. ✓ 0–2
  3. ✓ 3–0
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Newport County York City win ✕
  2. D 1–1 v Northampton Town York City win ✕
  3. W 3–0 v Gillingham York City win ✓
  4. L 0–2 at Chesterfield Chesterfield Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 4–0 v Swindon Town York City win ✓

Accrington Stanley

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✕ 1–1
  3. ✕ 2–0
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✕ 3–1

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–1 v Gillingham Gillingham Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 0–0 at Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic or draw ✓
  3. W 2–0 v Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town Away +1.5 ✕
  4. D 1–1 at Swindon Town Either team to win ✕
  5. D 0–0 v Newport County Newport County Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

York City wins 1 Draws 2 Accrington Stanley wins 2
  1. 23 Apr 2016 Accrington Stanley 3–0 York City
  2. 28 Nov 2015 York City 1–5 Accrington Stanley
  3. 21 Mar 2015 Accrington Stanley 2–2 York City
  4. 26 Dec 2014 York City 1–0 Accrington Stanley
  5. 12 Apr 2014 York City 1–1 Accrington Stanley

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.