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Match prediction · League Two

Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Gillingham Away +1.5

For this to come in, Gillingham must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 80%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Accrington Stanley

W1 D3 L1
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✕ 2–0
  5. ✓ 0–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 at Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic or draw ✓
  2. W 2–0 v Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town Away +1.5 ✕
  3. D 1–1 at Swindon Town Either team to win ✕
  4. D 0–0 v Newport County Newport County Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–2 at Barnet Barnet win ✓

Gillingham

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✕ 2–0
  2. ✕ 3–0
  3. ✓ 0–3
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✕ 4–1

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–1 at Rotherham United Rotherham United or draw ✕
  2. D 0–0 v Newport County Newport County Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–3 at York City York City win ✓
  4. W 3–0 v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers Away +1.5 ✕
  5. W 2–0 v Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers Away +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

Accrington Stanley wins 1 Draws 2 Gillingham wins 2
  1. 6 Apr 2026 Gillingham 2–0 Accrington Stanley
  2. 2 Aug 2025 Accrington Stanley 1–1 Gillingham
  3. 15 Mar 2025 Accrington Stanley 1–1 Gillingham
  4. 12 Oct 2024 Gillingham 1–2 Accrington Stanley
  5. 13 Jan 2024 Accrington Stanley 1–2 Gillingham

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.