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Match prediction · League Two

Rotherham United vs Gillingham

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK time · New York Stadium

Our call 1X
Rotherham United or draw

For this to come in, Rotherham United must win or draw.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Rotherham United

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 3–3
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. L 0–1 at Exeter City Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Northampton Town Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 3–3 v Salford City Salford City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–1 at Bristol Rovers Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓

Gillingham

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✕ 4–1
  2. ✕ 2–0
  3. ✕ 3–0
  4. ✓ 0–3
  5. ✓ 0–0

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

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  1. D 0–0 v Newport County Newport County Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–3 at York City York City win ✓
  3. W 3–0 v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers Away +1.5 ✕
  4. W 2–0 v Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers Away +1.5 ✕
  5. W 4–1 at Rochdale Rochdale win ✕

Last meetings

Rotherham United wins 4 Draws 0 Gillingham wins 1
  1. 30 Apr 2022 Gillingham 0–2 Rotherham United
  2. 7 Dec 2021 Rotherham United 5–1 Gillingham
  3. 2 Nov 2019 Gillingham 0–3 Rotherham United
  4. 17 Apr 2018 Gillingham 0–1 Rotherham United
  5. 28 Oct 2017 Rotherham United 1–3 Gillingham

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.