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Match prediction · League Two

Oldham Athletic vs Accrington Stanley

Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 UK time · Boundary Park

Our call 1X
Oldham Athletic or draw

For this to come in, Oldham Athletic must win or draw.

Model confidence 76%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Oldham Athletic

W0 D1 L4
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 0–2
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✕ 0–2
  5. ✓ 1–4

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–4 v Salford City Salford City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–2 at Rochdale Oldham Athletic Away +1.5 ✕
  3. L 1–2 v Chesterfield Chesterfield Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–2 at Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Fleetwood Town Oldham Athletic Away +1.5 ✓

Accrington Stanley

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 3–2
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✕ 2–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. W 2–0 v Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 1–1 at Swindon Town Either team to win ✕
  3. D 0–0 v Newport County Newport County Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–2 at Barnet Barnet win ✓
  5. W 3–2 v Crawley Town Crawley Town Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Oldham Athletic wins 1 Draws 0 Accrington Stanley wins 1
  1. 2 May 2026 Oldham Athletic 3–0 Accrington Stanley
  2. 29 Nov 2025 Accrington Stanley 1–0 Oldham Athletic

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.