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Match prediction · League Two

York City vs Northampton Town

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call
York City win
Model confidence 61%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

York City

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✕ 2–3
  2. ✕ 1–1
  3. ✓ 4–0
  4. ✓ 0–2
  5. ✓ 3–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–0 v Gillingham York City win ✓
  2. L 0–2 at Chesterfield Chesterfield Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 4–0 v Swindon Town York City win ✓
  4. D 1–1 at Crewe Alexandra Either team to win ✕
  5. L 2–3 at Cheltenham Town York City win ✕

Northampton Town

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 0–2
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 v Rotherham United Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–2 at Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 v Newport County Northampton Town or draw ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Crawley Town Crawley Town Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Gillingham Either team to win ✕

Last meetings

York City wins 1 Draws 1 Northampton Town wins 3
  1. 23 Feb 2016 York City 1–2 Northampton Town
  2. 6 Feb 2016 Northampton Town 2–0 York City
  3. 21 Feb 2015 Northampton Town 3–0 York City
  4. 16 Aug 2014 York City 1–1 Northampton Town
  5. 11 Jan 2014 Northampton Town 0–2 York City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.