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Match prediction · League Two

Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call 1X
Rochdale or draw

For this to come in, Rochdale must win or draw.

Model confidence 79%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Rochdale

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 2–3
  5. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 v Grimsby Town Grimsby Town Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 2–3 at Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 at Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 v Swindon Town Either team to win ✓
  5. W 2–1 at Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town Home +1.5 ✓

Accrington Stanley

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✕ 2–0
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✕ 3–1
  5. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 1 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at York City York City win ✕
  2. W 3–1 v Gillingham Gillingham Away +1.5 ✕
  3. D 0–0 at Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic or draw ✓
  4. W 2–0 v Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town Away +1.5 ✕
  5. D 1–1 at Swindon Town Either team to win ✕

Last meetings

Rochdale wins 4 Draws 0 Accrington Stanley wins 1
  1. 17 Apr 2021 Rochdale 3–1 Accrington Stanley
  2. 10 Oct 2020 Accrington Stanley 2–1 Rochdale
  3. 1 Jan 2020 Accrington Stanley 1–2 Rochdale
  4. 12 Oct 2019 Rochdale 2–1 Accrington Stanley
  5. 9 Apr 2019 Accrington Stanley 0–1 Rochdale

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.