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Match prediction · League Two

Rochdale vs Grimsby Town

Tue 20 Oct · 19:45 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Grimsby Town Away +1.5

For this to come in, Grimsby Town must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 78%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Rochdale

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✕ 2–0
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 2–3

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 2–3 at Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 at Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 v Swindon Town Either team to win ✓
  4. W 2–1 at Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–0 v Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic Away +1.5 ✕

Grimsby Town

W1 D0 L4
  1. ✓ 2–0
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✕ 1–2
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✕ 0–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–2 v Northampton Town Grimsby Town or draw ✕
  2. L 0–1 at Port Vale Grimsby Town Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–2 v Shrewsbury Town Grimsby Town win ✕
  4. L 1–2 at Newport County Newport County Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–0 v Crawley Town Grimsby Town or draw ✓

Last meetings

Rochdale wins 0 Draws 0 Grimsby Town wins 2
  1. 11 Mar 2023 Grimsby Town 1–0 Rochdale
  2. 13 Aug 2022 Rochdale 0–1 Grimsby Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.