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Match prediction · League Two

Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Blundell Park

Our call 1X
Grimsby Town or draw

For this to come in, Grimsby Town must win or draw.

Model confidence 75%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Grimsby Town

W2 D0 L3
  1. ✓ 2–0
  2. ✓ 2–0
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✕ 1–2
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 at Port Vale Grimsby Town Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–2 v Shrewsbury Town Grimsby Town win ✕
  3. L 1–2 at Newport County Newport County Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–0 v Crawley Town Grimsby Town or draw ✓
  5. W 2–0 v Bristol Rovers Grimsby Town or draw ✓

Northampton Town

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 0–2
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at York City York City win ✕
  2. L 0–1 v Rotherham United Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–2 at Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 v Newport County Northampton Town or draw ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Crawley Town Crawley Town Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Grimsby Town wins 1 Draws 2 Northampton Town wins 2
  1. 18 Feb 2023 Northampton Town 1–2 Grimsby Town
  2. 6 Aug 2022 Grimsby Town 1–1 Northampton Town
  3. 29 Feb 2020 Grimsby Town 0–3 Northampton Town
  4. 23 Nov 2019 Northampton Town 2–0 Grimsby Town
  5. 16 Mar 2019 Grimsby Town 0–0 Northampton Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.