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Match prediction · League Two

Crewe Alexandra vs Rochdale

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Crewe Alexandra Home +1.5

For this to come in, Crewe Alexandra must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 82%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Crewe Alexandra

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✕ 3–1
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 at Swindon Town Either team to win ✓
  2. W 3–1 v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers Away +1.5 ✕
  3. D 1–1 at Rotherham United Crewe Alexandra Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury Town Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Colchester United Crewe Alexandra Away +1.5 ✓

Rochdale

W3 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✕ 2–0
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 1–0 v Swindon Town Either team to win ✓
  3. W 2–1 at Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–0 v Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic Away +1.5 ✕
  5. D 0–0 at Walsall Walsall Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Crewe Alexandra wins 1 Draws 4 Rochdale wins 0
  1. 25 Feb 2023 Crewe Alexandra 1–1 Rochdale
  2. 30 Jul 2022 Rochdale 1–2 Crewe Alexandra
  3. 24 Apr 2021 Crewe Alexandra 1–1 Rochdale
  4. 9 Jan 2021 Rochdale 3–3 Crewe Alexandra
  5. 16 Feb 2016 Rochdale 2–2 Crewe Alexandra

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.