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Match prediction · League Two

Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra

Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 UK time · County Ground

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Swindon Town or Crewe Alexandra must win.

Model confidence 76%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Swindon Town

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✕ 3–1
  2. ✓ 0–4
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 at Rochdale Either team to win ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Accrington Stanley Either team to win ✕
  3. L 0–1 at Salford City Swindon Town Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–4 at York City York City win ✓
  5. W 3–1 v Colchester United Colchester United Away +1.5 ✕

Crewe Alexandra

W1 D4 L0
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✕ 3–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–1 v Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 1–1 at Rotherham United Crewe Alexandra Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 v Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury Town Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 at Colchester United Crewe Alexandra Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 v York City Either team to win ✕

Last meetings

Swindon Town wins 1 Draws 2 Crewe Alexandra wins 2
  1. 21 Feb 2026 Swindon Town 1–2 Crewe Alexandra
  2. 30 Aug 2025 Crewe Alexandra 0–3 Swindon Town
  3. 11 Jan 2025 Swindon Town 0–0 Crewe Alexandra
  4. 24 Aug 2024 Crewe Alexandra 0–0 Swindon Town
  5. 13 Jan 2024 Crewe Alexandra 2–1 Swindon Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.