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Match prediction · League Two

York City vs Port Vale

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call
York City win
Model confidence 56%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

York City

W1 D3 L1
  1. ✓ 0–2
  2. ✓ 3–0
  3. ✕ 1–1
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v Accrington Stanley York City win ✕
  2. D 1–1 at Newport County York City win ✕
  3. D 1–1 v Northampton Town York City win ✕
  4. W 3–0 v Gillingham York City win ✓
  5. L 0–2 at Chesterfield Chesterfield Home +1.5 ✓

Port Vale

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✕ 0–2
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Gillingham Gillingham Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 1–0 v Chesterfield Chesterfield Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 v Grimsby Town Grimsby Town Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–2 at Walsall Port Vale Away +1.5 ✕
  5. W 1–0 v Exeter City Exeter City Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

York City wins 0 Draws 1 Port Vale wins 1
  1. 16 Mar 2013 York City 0–2 Port Vale
  2. 17 Nov 2012 Port Vale 2–2 York City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.