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Match prediction · League Two

Port Vale vs Rochdale

Sat 31 Oct · 12:30 UK time · Vale Park

Our call 12
Either team to win

For this to come in, either Port Vale or Rochdale must win.

Model confidence 71%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Port Vale

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✕ 0–2
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 0–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–2 at York City York City win ✓
  2. D 1–1 at Gillingham Gillingham Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 1–0 v Chesterfield Chesterfield Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 v Grimsby Town Grimsby Town Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–2 at Walsall Port Vale Away +1.5 ✕

Rochdale

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 2–3
  4. ✓ 2–2
  5. ✕ 0–5

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–5 v Accrington Stanley Rochdale or draw ✕
  2. D 2–2 v Grimsby Town Grimsby Town Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 2–3 at Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 at Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 1–0 v Swindon Town Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Port Vale wins 2 Draws 1 Rochdale wins 2
  1. 22 Feb 2022 Rochdale 1–1 Port Vale
  2. 4 Sep 2021 Port Vale 2–3 Rochdale
  3. 4 Apr 2017 Rochdale 3–0 Port Vale
  4. 16 Aug 2016 Port Vale 1–0 Rochdale
  5. 23 Apr 2016 Port Vale 4–1 Rochdale

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.