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Match prediction · League Two

Accrington Stanley vs Northampton Town

Sat 31 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Northampton Town Away +1.5

For this to come in, Northampton Town must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 83%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Accrington Stanley

W3 D2 L0
  1. ✕ 2–0
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✕ 3–1
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✕ 5–0

Our calls: 1 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 5–0 at Rochdale Rochdale or draw ✕
  2. D 1–1 at York City York City win ✕
  3. W 3–1 v Gillingham Gillingham Away +1.5 ✕
  4. D 0–0 at Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic or draw ✓
  5. W 2–0 v Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town Away +1.5 ✕

Northampton Town

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✕ 1–1
  3. ✕ 2–0
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✕ 2–0

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 v Colchester United Colchester United Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–1 v Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–0 at Grimsby Town Grimsby Town or draw ✕
  4. D 1–1 at York City York City win ✕
  5. L 0–1 v Rotherham United Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Accrington Stanley wins 1 Draws 2 Northampton Town wins 2
  1. 6 Feb 2021 Accrington Stanley 0–0 Northampton Town
  2. 14 Nov 2020 Northampton Town 0–1 Accrington Stanley
  3. 28 Dec 2015 Northampton Town 1–0 Accrington Stanley
  4. 29 Aug 2015 Accrington Stanley 1–1 Northampton Town
  5. 31 Jan 2015 Accrington Stanley 1–5 Northampton Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.