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Match prediction · League Two

Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers

Tue 20 Oct · 19:45 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Tranmere Rovers Away +1.5

For this to come in, Tranmere Rovers must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 76%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Northampton Town

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 0–2
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✕ 2–0

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–0 at Grimsby Town Grimsby Town or draw ✕
  2. D 1–1 at York City York City win ✕
  3. L 0–1 v Rotherham United Rotherham United Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–2 at Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury Town Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 1–0 v Newport County Northampton Town or draw ✓

Tranmere Rovers

W0 D3 L2
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 2–4
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 v Barnet Either team to win ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Rochdale Tranmere Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 2–4 at Chesterfield Chesterfield win ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Walsall Tranmere Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 0–0 at Exeter City Exeter City or draw ✓

Last meetings

Northampton Town wins 4 Draws 1 Tranmere Rovers wins 0
  1. 8 May 2023 Tranmere Rovers 0–1 Northampton Town
  2. 3 Dec 2022 Northampton Town 0–0 Tranmere Rovers
  3. 5 Mar 2022 Northampton Town 3–2 Tranmere Rovers
  4. 23 Oct 2021 Tranmere Rovers 0–2 Northampton Town
  5. 5 Feb 2019 Tranmere Rovers 1–2 Northampton Town

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.