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Match prediction · Championship

Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers

Tue 3 Nov · 19:45 UK time · The Valley

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Bolton Wanderers Away +1.5

For this to come in, Bolton Wanderers must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Charlton Athletic

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✕ 2–2
  3. ✕ 0–2
  4. ✕ 1–3
  5. ✓ 0–3

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–3 at Middlesbrough Middlesbrough win ✓
  2. L 1–3 v Norwich City Charlton Athletic Home +1.5 ✕
  3. L 0–2 at Watford Charlton Athletic Away +1.5 ✕
  4. D 2–2 at Burnley Burnley win ✕
  5. D 1–1 v Bristol City Charlton Athletic Home +1.5 ✓

Bolton Wanderers

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✕ 3–1
  3. ✕ 0–0
  4. ✓ 1–5
  5. ✓ 2–3

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 2–3 v Bristol City Bolton Wanderers Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–5 v Middlesbrough Either team to win ✓
  3. D 0–0 at Southampton Southampton win ✕
  4. W 3–1 at Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✕
  5. L 1–2 v Stoke City Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Charlton Athletic wins 2 Draws 1 Bolton Wanderers wins 2
  1. 21 Jan 2025 Bolton Wanderers 1–2 Charlton Athletic
  2. 24 Aug 2024 Charlton Athletic 2–0 Bolton Wanderers
  3. 17 Feb 2024 Bolton Wanderers 3–3 Charlton Athletic
  4. 28 Oct 2023 Charlton Athletic 0–2 Bolton Wanderers
  5. 28 Jan 2023 Charlton Athletic 1–2 Bolton Wanderers

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.