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Match prediction · Championship

Bolton Wanderers vs Stoke City

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Stoke City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Stoke City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 82%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Bolton Wanderers

W2 D0 L3
  1. ✓ 2–3
  2. ✓ 0–4
  3. ✓ 2–3
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✕ 4–3

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–3 at Norwich City Norwich City win ✕
  2. W 1–0 v Cardiff City Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 2–3 v West Ham United West Ham United win ✓
  4. L 0–4 at Millwall Millwall or draw ✓
  5. L 2–3 at Sheffield United Sheffield United win ✓

Stoke City

W4 D1 L0
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✕ 4–0
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 v Sheffield United Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 at Watford Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 at Cardiff City Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 4–0 v Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic Away +1.5 ✕
  5. W 1–0 v Norwich City Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Bolton Wanderers wins 1 Draws 2 Stoke City wins 2
  1. 29 Dec 2018 Bolton Wanderers 0–0 Stoke City
  2. 2 Oct 2018 Stoke City 2–0 Bolton Wanderers
  3. 13 May 2012 Stoke City 2–2 Bolton Wanderers
  4. 6 Nov 2011 Bolton Wanderers 5–0 Stoke City
  5. 15 Jan 2011 Stoke City 2–0 Bolton Wanderers

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.