Match prediction · Championship

WATWatford vs STOStoke City

Sat 12 Sep · 15:00 UK time · Vicarage Road

Our call
Stoke City Away +1.5 Handicap | Fulltime

For this to come in, Stoke City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

CONF80%

Watford 1–2 Stoke City Our call came in

Recent form

League games this season before this one, with our call on each.

Watford

  1. W 2–1 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 at West Bromwich Albion Watford Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–2 at Swansea City Watford Away +1.5 ✗
  4. D 1–1 v West Ham United West Ham United win ✗
  5. D 1–1 at Wrexham Watford Away +1.5 ✓

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Stoke City

  1. D 1–1 at Cardiff City Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 4–0 v Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic Away +1.5 ✗
  3. W 1–0 v Norwich City Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–4 at Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✓
  5. L 1–3 at Southampton Southampton win ✓

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Last meetings

  1. 14 Mar 2026 Stoke City 3–1 Watford
  2. 20 Dec 2025 Watford 1–0 Stoke City
  3. 1 Mar 2025 Stoke City 0–0 Watford
  4. 17 Aug 2024 Watford 3–0 Stoke City
  5. 29 Dec 2023 Watford 1–1 Stoke City

CONF is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.