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Match prediction · Championship

Watford vs Stoke City

Sat 12 Sep · 15:00 UK time · Vicarage Road

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Stoke City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Stoke City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 80%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Watford

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✕ 1–1
  3. ✕ 0–2
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 at West Bromwich Albion Watford Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–2 at Swansea City Watford Away +1.5 ✕
  4. D 1–1 v West Ham United West Ham United win ✕
  5. D 1–1 at Wrexham Watford Away +1.5 ✓

Stoke City

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 1–3
  2. ✓ 1–4
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✕ 4–0
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 at Cardiff City Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 4–0 v Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic Away +1.5 ✕
  3. W 1–0 v Norwich City Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–4 at Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✓
  5. L 1–3 at Southampton Southampton win ✓

Last meetings

Watford wins 2 Draws 2 Stoke City wins 1
  1. 14 Mar 2026 Stoke City 3–1 Watford
  2. 20 Dec 2025 Watford 1–0 Stoke City
  3. 1 Mar 2025 Stoke City 0–0 Watford
  4. 17 Aug 2024 Watford 3–0 Stoke City
  5. 29 Dec 2023 Watford 1–1 Stoke City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.