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Match prediction · Championship

Southampton vs Stoke City

Sat 22 Aug · 15:00 UK time · St Mary's Stadium

Our call
Southampton win
Model confidence 59%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Southampton

W0 D0 L1
  1. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 1 of 1 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 at Watford Either team to win ✓

Stoke City

W0 D0 L1
  1. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 1 of 1 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 v Swansea City Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Southampton wins 2 Draws 1 Stoke City wins 2
  1. 31 Jan 2026 Stoke City 0–2 Southampton
  2. 23 Aug 2025 Southampton 1–2 Stoke City
  3. 27 Apr 2024 Southampton 0–1 Stoke City
  4. 3 Oct 2023 Stoke City 0–1 Southampton
  5. 3 Mar 2018 Southampton 0–0 Stoke City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.