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Match prediction · Championship

Swansea City vs Watford

Tue 1 Sep · 19:45 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Watford Away +1.5

For this to come in, Watford must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 78%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Swansea City

W2 D1 L0
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 3–0

Our calls: 3 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–0 at Derby County Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 0–0 v Sheffield United Sheffield United Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 at Stoke City Either team to win ✓

Watford

W1 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✕ 1–1

Our calls: 2 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v West Ham United West Ham United win ✕
  2. D 1–1 at Wrexham Watford Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Southampton Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Swansea City wins 2 Draws 2 Watford wins 1
  1. 31 Jan 2026 Watford 0–2 Swansea City
  2. 23 Aug 2025 Swansea City 1–1 Watford
  3. 12 Mar 2025 Watford 1–0 Swansea City
  4. 5 Nov 2024 Swansea City 1–0 Watford
  5. 6 Mar 2024 Watford 1–1 Swansea City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.