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Match prediction · Championship

Derby County vs Swansea City

Sat 29 Aug · 12:30 UK time · Pride Park Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Swansea City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Swansea City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 80%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Derby County

W0 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 2 of 2 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 v Cardiff City Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–2 at Charlton Athletic Either team to win ✓

Swansea City

W1 D1 L0
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 0–0

Our calls: 2 of 2 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 v Sheffield United Sheffield United Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 at Stoke City Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Derby County wins 2 Draws 0 Swansea City wins 3
  1. 14 Feb 2026 Derby County 2–0 Swansea City
  2. 25 Nov 2025 Swansea City 1–2 Derby County
  3. 5 Apr 2025 Swansea City 1–0 Derby County
  4. 27 Nov 2024 Derby County 1–2 Swansea City
  5. 9 Apr 2022 Swansea City 2–1 Derby County

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.