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Match prediction · Championship

CARCardiff City vs STOStoke City

Tue 8 Sep · 19:45 UK time · Cardiff City Stadium

Our call
Stoke City Away +1.5 Handicap | Fulltime

For this to come in, Stoke City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

CONF77%

Cardiff City 1–1 Stoke City Our call came in

Recent form

League games this season before this one, with our call on each.

Cardiff City

  1. L 0–2 at Portsmouth Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✗
  2. L 1–2 at Queens Park Rangers Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 v Sheffield United Sheffield United Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 at Derby County Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. – – v Wrexham Either team to win ✗

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Stoke City

  1. W 4–0 v Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic Away +1.5 ✗
  2. W 1–0 v Norwich City Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–4 at Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✓
  4. L 1–3 at Southampton Southampton win ✓
  5. – – v Swansea City Either team to win ✓

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Last meetings

  1. 12 Apr 2025 Cardiff City 0–1 Stoke City
  2. 14 Dec 2024 Stoke City 2–2 Cardiff City
  3. 24 Feb 2024 Cardiff City 2–1 Stoke City
  4. 4 Nov 2023 Stoke City 0–0 Cardiff City
  5. 22 Apr 2023 Cardiff City 1–1 Stoke City

CONF is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.