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Match prediction · Championship

Cardiff City vs Stoke City

Tue 8 Sep · 19:45 UK time · Cardiff City Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Stoke City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Stoke City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 77%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Cardiff City

W0 D3 L2
  1. ✕ 1–1
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✓ 1–2
  5. ✕ 0–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–2 at Portsmouth Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 1–2 at Queens Park Rangers Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 v Sheffield United Sheffield United Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 at Derby County Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 v Wrexham Either team to win ✕

Stoke City

W2 D0 L3
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 1–3
  3. ✓ 1–4
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✕ 4–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–0 v Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic Away +1.5 ✕
  2. W 1–0 v Norwich City Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–4 at Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✓
  4. L 1–3 at Southampton Southampton win ✓
  5. L 1–2 v Swansea City Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Cardiff City wins 1 Draws 3 Stoke City wins 1
  1. 12 Apr 2025 Cardiff City 0–1 Stoke City
  2. 14 Dec 2024 Stoke City 2–2 Cardiff City
  3. 24 Feb 2024 Cardiff City 2–1 Stoke City
  4. 4 Nov 2023 Stoke City 0–0 Cardiff City
  5. 22 Apr 2023 Cardiff City 1–1 Stoke City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.