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Match prediction · Championship

Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers

Sun 20 Sep · 13:30 UK time · Carrow Road

Our call
Norwich City win
Model confidence 56%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Norwich City

W3 D0 L2
  1. ✓ 4–1
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 3–1
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 3–4

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. L 3–4 at Middlesbrough Either team to win ✓
  2. W 2–1 v Birmingham City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 3–1 at Sheffield United Norwich City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 at Stoke City Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 4–1 v Burnley Norwich City Home +1.5 ✓

Bolton Wanderers

W1 D0 L4
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 2–3
  3. ✓ 0–4
  4. ✓ 2–3
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. W 1–0 v Cardiff City Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 2–3 v West Ham United West Ham United win ✓
  3. L 0–4 at Millwall Millwall or draw ✓
  4. L 2–3 at Sheffield United Sheffield United win ✓
  5. L 0–1 v Lincoln City Lincoln City Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Norwich City wins 3 Draws 1 Bolton Wanderers wins 1
  1. 16 Feb 2019 Bolton Wanderers 0–4 Norwich City
  2. 8 Dec 2018 Norwich City 3–2 Bolton Wanderers
  3. 24 Feb 2018 Norwich City 0–0 Bolton Wanderers
  4. 4 Nov 2017 Bolton Wanderers 2–1 Norwich City
  5. 11 Apr 2015 Bolton Wanderers 1–2 Norwich City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.