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Match prediction · Championship

Millwall vs Bolton Wanderers

Sat 5 Sep · 15:00 UK time · The Den

Our call 1X
Millwall or draw

For this to come in, Millwall must win or draw.

Model confidence 78%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Millwall

W2 D0 L2
  1. ✓ 2–0
  2. ✕ 3–0
  3. ✓ 1–5
  4. ✓ 0–3

Our calls: 3 of 4 came in

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  1. L 0–3 v Wrexham Wrexham Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–5 at Southampton Either team to win ✓
  3. W 3–0 v Norwich City Norwich City Away +1.5 ✕
  4. W 2–0 at Bristol City Either team to win ✓

Bolton Wanderers

W1 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 2–3

Our calls: 4 of 4 came in

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  1. L 2–3 at Sheffield United Sheffield United win ✓
  2. L 0–1 v Lincoln City Lincoln City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 0–0 at Queens Park Rangers Bolton Wanderers Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 v Preston North End Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Millwall wins 1 Draws 2 Bolton Wanderers wins 2
  1. 9 Mar 2019 Bolton Wanderers 2–1 Millwall
  2. 24 Nov 2018 Millwall 1–1 Bolton Wanderers
  3. 10 Apr 2018 Bolton Wanderers 0–2 Millwall
  4. 12 Aug 2017 Millwall 1–1 Bolton Wanderers
  5. 19 Nov 2016 Bolton Wanderers 2–0 Millwall

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.