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Match prediction · Championship

Norwich City vs Birmingham City

Wed 9 Sep · 19:45 UK time · Carrow Road

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Birmingham City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Birmingham City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 78%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Norwich City

W2 D0 L3
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✕ 0–3
  3. ✓ 4–1
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 3–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 3–1 at Sheffield United Norwich City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 at Stoke City Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 4–1 v Burnley Norwich City Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–3 at Millwall Norwich City Away +1.5 ✕
  5. L 1–2 v West Bromwich Albion Either team to win ✓

Birmingham City

W1 D4 L0
  1. ✕ 0–0
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. D 2–2 v Wolverhampton Wanderers Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Southampton Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 at Wrexham Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 v Bristol City Bristol City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 0–0 at Sheffield United Either team to win ✕

Last meetings

Norwich City wins 2 Draws 0 Birmingham City wins 3
  1. 21 Feb 2026 Norwich City 1–2 Birmingham City
  2. 22 Nov 2025 Birmingham City 4–1 Norwich City
  3. 4 May 2024 Birmingham City 1–0 Norwich City
  4. 30 Sep 2023 Norwich City 2–0 Birmingham City
  5. 21 Feb 2023 Norwich City 3–1 Birmingham City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.