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Match prediction · Championship

Birmingham City vs Southampton

Tue 1 Sep · 20:00 UK time · St Andrew's

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Birmingham City Home +1.5

For this to come in, Birmingham City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 81%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Birmingham City

W1 D2 L0
  1. ✕ 0–0
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 2 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 2–1 at Wrexham Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 2–2 v Bristol City Bristol City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 0–0 at Sheffield United Either team to win ✕

Southampton

W2 D0 L1
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 3–1
  3. ✓ 5–1

Our calls: 3 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 5–1 v Millwall Either team to win ✓
  2. W 3–1 v Stoke City Southampton win ✓
  3. L 1–2 at Watford Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Birmingham City wins 0 Draws 2 Southampton wins 3
  1. 29 Dec 2025 Birmingham City 1–1 Southampton
  2. 6 Dec 2025 Southampton 3–1 Birmingham City
  3. 2 Mar 2024 Birmingham City 3–4 Southampton
  4. 28 Oct 2023 Southampton 3–1 Birmingham City
  5. 4 Feb 2012 Birmingham City 0–0 Southampton

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.