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Match prediction · Championship

Charlton Athletic vs Bristol City

Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 UK time · The Valley

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Charlton Athletic Home +1.5

For this to come in, Charlton Athletic must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 84%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Charlton Athletic

W0 D3 L2
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✕ 0–4
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✓ 1–3

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–3 at Cardiff City Either team to win ✓
  2. D 0–0 v Portsmouth Portsmouth Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 0–0 v Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–4 at Stoke City Charlton Athletic Away +1.5 ✕
  5. D 1–1 at West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion or draw ✓

Bristol City

W3 D0 L2
  1. ✓ 3–1
  2. ✕ 2–1
  3. ✓ 1–4
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 v Watford Watford Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 v Lincoln City Lincoln City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–4 at Southampton Southampton win ✓
  4. W 2–1 at Burnley Burnley win ✕
  5. W 3–1 at Preston North End Bristol City Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Charlton Athletic wins 1 Draws 1 Bristol City wins 3
  1. 3 Apr 2026 Charlton Athletic 1–2 Bristol City
  2. 16 Aug 2025 Bristol City 0–0 Charlton Athletic
  3. 26 Dec 2019 Charlton Athletic 3–2 Bristol City
  4. 23 Oct 2019 Bristol City 2–1 Charlton Athletic
  5. 6 Feb 2016 Charlton Athletic 0–1 Bristol City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.