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Match prediction · Championship

Burnley vs Bristol City

Sat 5 Sep · 15:00 UK time · Turf Moor

Our call
Burnley win
Model confidence 56%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Burnley

W0 D2 L2
  1. ✕ 2–2
  2. ✓ 1–3
  3. ✓ 1–4
  4. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 3 of 4 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v Middlesbrough Middlesbrough Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–4 at Norwich City Norwich City Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–3 at West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 v West Ham United Either team to win ✕

Bristol City

W2 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 0–2
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 3–1

Our calls: 4 of 4 came in

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  1. W 3–1 at Preston North End Bristol City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 v Portsmouth Portsmouth Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 at Birmingham City Bristol City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–2 v Millwall Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Burnley wins 5 Draws 0 Bristol City wins 0
  1. 29 Mar 2025 Burnley 1–0 Bristol City
  2. 23 Nov 2024 Bristol City 0–1 Burnley
  3. 29 Apr 2023 Bristol City 1–2 Burnley
  4. 17 Sep 2022 Burnley 2–1 Bristol City
  5. 28 Dec 2015 Burnley 4–0 Bristol City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.