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Match prediction · Championship

Burnley vs Middlesbrough

Wed 2 Sep · 20:00 UK time · Turf Moor

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Middlesbrough Away +1.5

For this to come in, Middlesbrough must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 77%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Burnley

W0 D1 L2
  1. ✕ 2–2
  2. ✓ 1–3
  3. ✓ 1–4

Our calls: 2 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–4 at Norwich City Norwich City Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–3 at West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 v West Ham United Either team to win ✕

Middlesbrough

W2 D0 L1
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✕ 3–1

Our calls: 2 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–1 v West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Away +1.5 ✕
  2. L 1–2 at Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Lincoln City Middlesbrough win ✓

Last meetings

Burnley wins 2 Draws 3 Middlesbrough wins 0
  1. 29 Dec 2024 Middlesbrough 0–0 Burnley
  2. 6 Dec 2024 Burnley 1–1 Middlesbrough
  3. 7 Apr 2023 Middlesbrough 1–2 Burnley
  4. 17 Dec 2022 Burnley 3–1 Middlesbrough
  5. 8 Apr 2017 Middlesbrough 0–0 Burnley

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.