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Match prediction · Championship

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton Wanderers

Tue 13 Oct · 19:45 UK time · Molineux

Our call
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
Model confidence 65%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Wolverhampton Wanderers

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 2–4
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–1 at Middlesbrough Wolverhampton Wanderers Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 1–0 v West Bromwich Albion Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Sheffield United Sheffield United Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 at Birmingham City Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 2–4 at West Ham United Either team to win ✓

Bolton Wanderers

W2 D0 L3
  1. ✓ 0–4
  2. ✓ 2–3
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✕ 4–3
  5. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 v Stoke City Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 4–3 at Norwich City Norwich City win ✕
  3. W 1–0 v Cardiff City Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 2–3 v West Ham United West Ham United win ✓
  5. L 0–4 at Millwall Millwall or draw ✓

Last meetings

Wolverhampton Wanderers wins 2 Draws 2 Bolton Wanderers wins 1
  1. 21 Apr 2018 Bolton Wanderers 0–4 Wolverhampton Wanderers
  2. 25 Nov 2017 Wolverhampton Wanderers 5–1 Bolton Wanderers
  3. 2 Feb 2016 Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–2 Bolton Wanderers
  4. 12 Sep 2015 Bolton Wanderers 2–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
  5. 31 Jan 2015 Bolton Wanderers 2–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.