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Match prediction · Championship

Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton Wanderers

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Riverside Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Wolverhampton Wanderers Away +1.5

For this to come in, Wolverhampton Wanderers must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 83%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Middlesbrough

W2 D3 L0
  1. ✓ 1–1
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 4–3
  4. ✓ 2–2
  5. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. D 2–2 at Birmingham City Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 2–2 v Millwall Millwall Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 4–3 v Norwich City Either team to win ✓
  4. W 1–0 at Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers Home +1.5 ✓
  5. D 1–1 at Burnley Middlesbrough Away +1.5 ✓

Wolverhampton Wanderers

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 4–1
  2. ✓ 2–4
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. W 1–0 v West Bromwich Albion Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw ✓
  2. W 1–0 at Sheffield United Sheffield United Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 at Birmingham City Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 2–4 at West Ham United Either team to win ✓
  5. W 4–1 v Stoke City Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✓

Last meetings

Middlesbrough wins 3 Draws 0 Wolverhampton Wanderers wins 2
  1. 30 Mar 2018 Middlesbrough 1–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
  2. 5 Aug 2017 Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0 Middlesbrough
  3. 4 Mar 2016 Middlesbrough 2–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
  4. 24 Oct 2015 Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–3 Middlesbrough
  5. 14 Apr 2015 Middlesbrough 2–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.