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Match prediction · Championship

Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough

Sat 19 Sep · 15:00 UK time · St Andrew's

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Birmingham City Home +1.5

For this to come in, Birmingham City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 83%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Birmingham City

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✓ 1–2
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

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  1. W 2–1 at Derby County Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–2 at Norwich City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 v Wolverhampton Wanderers Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Southampton Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 at Wrexham Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓

Middlesbrough

W3 D2 L0
  1. ✕ 3–1
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 1–0
  4. ✓ 4–3
  5. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. D 2–2 v Millwall Millwall Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 4–3 v Norwich City Either team to win ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 at Burnley Middlesbrough Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 3–1 v West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Away +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

Birmingham City wins 0 Draws 0 Middlesbrough wins 5
  1. 2 Mar 2026 Birmingham City 1–3 Middlesbrough
  2. 8 Nov 2025 Middlesbrough 2–1 Birmingham City
  3. 12 Mar 2024 Birmingham City 0–1 Middlesbrough
  4. 21 Oct 2023 Middlesbrough 1–0 Birmingham City
  5. 2 Jan 2023 Birmingham City 1–3 Middlesbrough

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.