Match prediction · Championship

BIRBirmingham City vs MIDMiddlesbrough

Sat 19 Sep · 15:00 UK time · St Andrew's

Our call
Birmingham City Home +1.5 Handicap | Fulltime

For this to come in, Birmingham City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

CONF83%

Birmingham City 2–2 Middlesbrough Our call came in

Recent form

League games this season before this one, with our call on each.

Birmingham City

  1. W 2–1 at Derby County Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–2 at Norwich City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 2–2 v Wolverhampton Wanderers Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Southampton Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 at Wrexham Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Middlesbrough

  1. D 2–2 v Millwall Millwall Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 4–3 v Norwich City Either team to win ✓
  3. W 1–0 at Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 at Burnley Middlesbrough Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 3–1 v West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Away +1.5 ✗

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Last meetings

  1. 2 Mar 2026 Birmingham City 1–3 Middlesbrough
  2. 8 Nov 2025 Middlesbrough 2–1 Birmingham City
  3. 12 Mar 2024 Birmingham City 0–1 Middlesbrough
  4. 21 Oct 2023 Middlesbrough 1–0 Birmingham City
  5. 2 Jan 2023 Birmingham City 1–3 Middlesbrough

CONF is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.