Match prediction · Championship

DERDerby County vs BIRBirmingham City

Sat 12 Sep · 12:30 UK time · Pride Park Stadium

Our call
Birmingham City Away +1.5 Handicap | Fulltime

For this to come in, Birmingham City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

CONF83%

Derby County 1–2 Birmingham City Our call came in

Recent form

League games this season before this one, with our call on each.

Derby County

  1. L 0–1 v West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–3 at West Ham United West Ham United win ✓
  3. W 2–0 at Portsmouth Derby County Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–3 v Swansea City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 v Cardiff City Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Birmingham City

  1. L 1–2 at Norwich City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 2–2 v Wolverhampton Wanderers Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 v Southampton Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 at Wrexham Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 v Bristol City Bristol City Away +1.5 ✓

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Last meetings

  1. 21 Mar 2026 Derby County 1–0 Birmingham City
  2. 26 Dec 2025 Birmingham City 1–1 Derby County
  3. 30 Jan 2022 Derby County 2–2 Birmingham City
  4. 10 Sep 2021 Birmingham City 2–0 Derby County
  5. 24 Apr 2021 Derby County 1–2 Birmingham City

CONF is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.