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Match prediction · Championship

Portsmouth vs Derby County

Tue 1 Sep · 19:45 UK time · Fratton Park

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Derby County Away +1.5

For this to come in, Derby County must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 84%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Portsmouth

W1 D0 L2
  1. ✓ 1–3
  2. ✓ 3–1
  3. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 3 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 at Bristol City Portsmouth Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 3–1 at Lincoln City Portsmouth Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–3 v Queens Park Rangers Either team to win ✓

Derby County

W0 D1 L2
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 0–3

Our calls: 3 of 3 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–3 v Swansea City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 2–2 v Cardiff City Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–2 at Charlton Athletic Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Portsmouth wins 0 Draws 3 Derby County wins 2
  1. 16 Mar 2026 Portsmouth 0–1 Derby County
  2. 20 Dec 2025 Derby County 1–1 Portsmouth
  3. 12 Apr 2025 Portsmouth 2–2 Derby County
  4. 13 Dec 2024 Derby County 4–0 Portsmouth
  5. 2 Apr 2024 Portsmouth 2–2 Derby County

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.