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Match prediction · Championship

Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion

Wed 9 Sep · 19:45 UK time · Pride Park Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
West Bromwich Albion Away +1.5

For this to come in, West Bromwich Albion must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 84%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Derby County

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✓ 2–2
  3. ✓ 0–3
  4. ✓ 2–0
  5. ✓ 0–3

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–3 at West Ham United West Ham United win ✓
  2. W 2–0 at Portsmouth Derby County Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–3 v Swansea City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 2–2 v Cardiff City Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–2 at Charlton Athletic Either team to win ✓

West Bromwich Albion

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 3–1
  3. ✕ 1–3
  4. ✓ 1–1
  5. ✓ 1–0

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 1–0 v Watford Watford Away +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 v Charlton Athletic West Bromwich Albion or draw ✓
  3. L 1–3 at Middlesbrough West Bromwich Albion Away +1.5 ✕
  4. W 3–1 v Burnley West Bromwich Albion Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–1 at Norwich City Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Derby County wins 4 Draws 1 West Bromwich Albion wins 0
  1. 23 Jan 2026 Derby County 1–1 West Bromwich Albion
  2. 13 Sep 2025 West Bromwich Albion 0–1 Derby County
  3. 21 Apr 2025 West Bromwich Albion 1–3 Derby County
  4. 26 Dec 2024 Derby County 2–1 West Bromwich Albion
  5. 27 Dec 2021 Derby County 1–0 West Bromwich Albion

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.