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Match prediction · Championship

Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Tue 15 Sep · 19:45 UK time · Riverside Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Millwall Away +1.5

For this to come in, Millwall must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 77%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Middlesbrough

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✕ 3–1
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 1–0
  5. ✓ 4–3

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–3 v Norwich City Either team to win ✓
  2. W 1–0 at Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers Home +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 at Burnley Middlesbrough Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 3–1 v West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Away +1.5 ✕
  5. L 1–2 at Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers Home +1.5 ✓

Millwall

W2 D0 L3
  1. ✕ 3–0
  2. ✓ 1–5
  3. ✓ 0–3
  4. ✓ 4–0
  5. ✓ 1–3

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–3 at Blackburn Rovers Either team to win ✓
  2. W 4–0 v Bolton Wanderers Millwall or draw ✓
  3. L 0–3 v Wrexham Wrexham Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–5 at Southampton Either team to win ✓
  5. W 3–0 v Norwich City Norwich City Away +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

Middlesbrough wins 3 Draws 0 Millwall wins 2
  1. 3 Apr 2026 Middlesbrough 1–2 Millwall
  2. 16 Aug 2025 Millwall 0–3 Middlesbrough
  3. 12 Apr 2025 Millwall 1–0 Middlesbrough
  4. 14 Dec 2024 Middlesbrough 1–0 Millwall
  5. 13 Jan 2024 Millwall 1–3 Middlesbrough

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.