BabaVanga
Build a parlay
Match prediction · Championship

Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol City

Sat 31 Oct · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Bolton Wanderers Home +1.5

For this to come in, Bolton Wanderers must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 83%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Bolton Wanderers

W2 D1 L2
  1. ✕ 4–3
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✕ 3–1
  4. ✕ 0–0
  5. ✓ 1–5

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–5 v Middlesbrough Either team to win ✓
  2. D 0–0 at Southampton Southampton win ✕
  3. W 3–1 at Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers win ✕
  4. L 1–2 v Stoke City Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 4–3 at Norwich City Norwich City win ✕

Bristol City

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 0–0

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 0–0 at Stoke City Bristol City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 v Sheffield United Sheffield United Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–1 v Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 at Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic Home +1.5 ✓
  5. W 1–0 v Watford Watford Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Bolton Wanderers wins 1 Draws 1 Bristol City wins 3
  1. 12 Jan 2019 Bristol City 2–1 Bolton Wanderers
  2. 11 Aug 2018 Bolton Wanderers 2–2 Bristol City
  3. 2 Feb 2018 Bolton Wanderers 1–0 Bristol City
  4. 26 Sep 2017 Bristol City 2–0 Bolton Wanderers
  5. 19 Mar 2016 Bristol City 6–0 Bolton Wanderers

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.