Match prediction · Championship

Stoke City vs Bristol City

Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 UK time · bet365 Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Bristol City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Bristol City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 84%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Last meetings

Stoke City wins 2 Draws 1 Bristol City wins 2
  1. 2 May 2026 Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City
  2. 1 Nov 2025 Stoke City 5–1 Bristol City
  3. 12 Feb 2025 Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City
  4. 22 Oct 2024 Stoke City 2–2 Bristol City
  5. 4 May 2024 Stoke City 4–0 Bristol City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.