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Match prediction · Championship

Burnley vs Charlton Athletic

Tue 13 Oct · 19:45 UK time · Turf Moor

Our call
Burnley win
Model confidence 63%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Burnley

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✕ 1–2
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 1–3
  4. ✕ 1–1
  5. ✕ 4–0

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 4–0 at Watford Watford Home +1.5 ✕
  2. D 1–1 v Derby County Burnley win ✕
  3. L 1–3 at Swansea City Swansea City Home +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 at Wrexham Wrexham Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–2 v Bristol City Burnley win ✕

Charlton Athletic

W0 D3 L2
  1. ✕ 0–4
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 0–0
  4. ✓ 1–3
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 1–1 v Bristol City Charlton Athletic Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–3 at Cardiff City Either team to win ✓
  3. D 0–0 v Portsmouth Portsmouth Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 0–0 v Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–4 at Stoke City Charlton Athletic Away +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

Burnley wins 5 Draws 0 Charlton Athletic wins 0
  1. 7 May 2016 Charlton Athletic 0–3 Burnley
  2. 19 Dec 2015 Burnley 4–0 Charlton Athletic
  3. 22 Mar 2014 Charlton Athletic 0–3 Burnley
  4. 28 Sep 2013 Burnley 3–0 Charlton Athletic
  5. 2 Mar 2013 Charlton Athletic 0–1 Burnley

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.