Match prediction · Championship

BURBurnley vs DERDerby County

Sat 19 Sep · 15:00 UK time · Turf Moor

Our call
Burnley win
CONF56%

Burnley 1–1 Derby County Our call did not come in

Recent form

League games this season before this one, with our call on each.

Burnley

  1. L 1–3 at Swansea City Swansea City Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 at Wrexham Wrexham Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–2 v Bristol City Burnley win ✗
  4. D 1–1 v Middlesbrough Middlesbrough Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–4 at Norwich City Norwich City Home +1.5 ✓

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Derby County

  1. L 1–2 v Birmingham City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 v West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 0–3 at West Ham United West Ham United win ✓
  4. W 2–0 at Portsmouth Derby County Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–3 v Swansea City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Last meetings

  1. 8 Apr 2025 Derby County 0–0 Burnley
  2. 10 Dec 2024 Burnley 0–0 Derby County
  3. 25 Jan 2016 Burnley 4–1 Derby County
  4. 21 Sep 2015 Derby County 0–0 Burnley
  5. 1 Mar 2014 Burnley 2–0 Derby County

CONF is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.