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Match prediction · Championship

Swansea City vs Burnley

Sat 12 Sep · 15:00 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Swansea City Home +1.5

For this to come in, Swansea City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 78%

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Swansea City

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 3–0
  3. ✕ 2–0
  4. ✓ 0–0
  5. ✓ 1–3

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. L 1–3 at Southampton Southampton win ✓
  2. D 0–0 v Wrexham Wrexham Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–0 v Watford Watford Away +1.5 ✕
  4. W 3–0 at Derby County Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 0–0 v Sheffield United Sheffield United Away +1.5 ✓

Burnley

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 1–3
  2. ✓ 1–4
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✕ 1–2
  5. ✓ 1–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. D 1–1 at Wrexham Wrexham Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–2 v Bristol City Burnley win ✕
  3. D 1–1 v Middlesbrough Middlesbrough Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–4 at Norwich City Norwich City Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–3 at West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Swansea City wins 1 Draws 0 Burnley wins 4
  1. 15 Mar 2025 Swansea City 0–2 Burnley
  2. 10 Nov 2024 Burnley 1–0 Swansea City
  3. 2 Jan 2023 Swansea City 1–2 Burnley
  4. 15 Oct 2022 Burnley 4–0 Swansea City
  5. 10 Feb 2018 Swansea City 1–0 Burnley

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.