Match prediction · Championship

SOUSouthampton vs SWASwansea City

Tue 8 Sep · 19:45 UK time · St Mary's Stadium

Our call
Southampton win
CONF57%

Southampton 3–1 Swansea City Our call came in

Recent form

League games this season before this one, with our call on each.

Southampton

  1. D 1–1 at Lincoln City Lincoln City Home +1.5 ✓
  2. D 1–1 at Birmingham City Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓
  3. W 5–1 v Millwall Either team to win ✓
  4. W 3–1 v Stoke City Southampton win ✓
  5. at Watford Either team to win ✓

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Swansea City

  1. D 0–0 v Wrexham Wrexham Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–0 v Watford Watford Away +1.5 ✗
  3. W 3–0 at Derby County Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 0–0 v Sheffield United Sheffield United Away +1.5 ✓
  5. at Stoke City Either team to win ✓

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Last meetings

  1. 18 Apr 2026 Swansea City 1–2 Southampton
  2. 18 Oct 2025 Southampton 0–0 Swansea City
  3. 20 Jan 2024 Swansea City 1–3 Southampton
  4. 26 Dec 2023 Southampton 5–0 Swansea City
  5. 8 May 2018 Swansea City 0–1 Southampton

CONF is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.