Match prediction · Championship

Watford vs Charlton Athletic

Sat 17 Oct · 12:30 UK time · Vicarage Road

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Charlton Athletic Away +1.5

For this to come in, Charlton Athletic must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Last meetings

Watford wins 1 Draws 1 Charlton Athletic wins 3
  1. 6 Apr 2026 Watford 1–1 Charlton Athletic
  2. 9 Aug 2025 Charlton Athletic 1–0 Watford
  3. 17 Jan 2015 Watford 5–0 Charlton Athletic
  4. 13 Sep 2014 Charlton Athletic 1–0 Watford
  5. 29 Apr 2014 Charlton Athletic 3–1 Watford

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.