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Match prediction · Championship

Cardiff City vs Watford

Tue 13 Oct · 19:45 UK time · Cardiff City Stadium

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Watford Away +1.5

For this to come in, Watford must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Cardiff City

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✕ 0–2
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✓ 0–1
  4. ✓ 3–1
  5. ✓ 1–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 1–2 at Blackburn Rovers Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 3–1 v Charlton Athletic Either team to win ✓
  3. L 0–1 at Bolton Wanderers Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 1–1 v Stoke City Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–2 at Portsmouth Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✕

Watford

W1 D0 L4
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 2–1
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✕ 0–4

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–4 v Burnley Watford Home +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–1 at Bristol City Watford Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–2 v Stoke City Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 2–1 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–1 at West Bromwich Albion Watford Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Cardiff City wins 3 Draws 2 Watford wins 0
  1. 14 Jan 2025 Cardiff City 1–1 Watford
  2. 29 Dec 2024 Watford 1–2 Cardiff City
  3. 3 Feb 2024 Watford 0–1 Cardiff City
  4. 7 Oct 2023 Cardiff City 1–1 Watford
  5. 19 Apr 2023 Watford 1–3 Cardiff City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.