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Match prediction · Championship

Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City

Sat 10 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Ewood Park

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Cardiff City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Cardiff City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 82%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Blackburn Rovers

W1 D2 L2
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 1–2
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✓ 3–1
  5. ✓ 2–2

Our calls: 5 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. D 2–2 at Portsmouth Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 3–1 v Millwall Either team to win ✓
  3. L 1–2 v Sheffield United Blackburn Rovers Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–2 at Preston North End Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 0–0 at Lincoln City Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✓

Cardiff City

W1 D1 L3
  1. ✓ 1–2
  2. ✕ 0–2
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 3–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. W 3–1 v Charlton Athletic Either team to win ✓
  2. L 0–1 at Bolton Wanderers Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. D 1–1 v Stoke City Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–2 at Portsmouth Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✕
  5. L 1–2 at Queens Park Rangers Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Blackburn Rovers wins 3 Draws 1 Cardiff City wins 1
  1. 15 Mar 2025 Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Cardiff City
  2. 9 Nov 2024 Cardiff City 1–3 Blackburn Rovers
  3. 20 Feb 2024 Cardiff City 0–0 Blackburn Rovers
  4. 21 Oct 2023 Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Cardiff City
  5. 1 Jan 2023 Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Cardiff City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.