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Match prediction · Championship

Middlesbrough vs Charlton Athletic

Sat 31 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Riverside Stadium

Our call
Middlesbrough win
Model confidence 61%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Middlesbrough

W3 D2 L0
  1. ✓ 2–2
  2. ✓ 1–0
  3. ✓ 3–2
  4. ✕ 2–2
  5. ✓ 5–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 5–1 at Bolton Wanderers Either team to win ✓
  2. D 2–2 v Cardiff City Middlesbrough win ✕
  3. W 3–2 at Stoke City Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓
  4. W 1–0 v Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolverhampton Wanderers Away +1.5 ✓
  5. D 2–2 at Birmingham City Birmingham City Home +1.5 ✓

Charlton Athletic

W0 D2 L3
  1. ✓ 1–3
  2. ✓ 1–1
  3. ✕ 2–2
  4. ✕ 0–2
  5. ✕ 1–3

Our calls: 2 of 5 came in

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  1. L 1–3 v Norwich City Charlton Athletic Home +1.5 ✕
  2. L 0–2 at Watford Charlton Athletic Away +1.5 ✕
  3. D 2–2 at Burnley Burnley win ✕
  4. D 1–1 v Bristol City Charlton Athletic Home +1.5 ✓
  5. L 1–3 at Cardiff City Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Middlesbrough wins 3 Draws 0 Charlton Athletic wins 2
  1. 11 Mar 2026 Middlesbrough 0–1 Charlton Athletic
  2. 9 Dec 2025 Charlton Athletic 1–2 Middlesbrough
  3. 7 Mar 2020 Charlton Athletic 0–1 Middlesbrough
  4. 7 Dec 2019 Middlesbrough 1–0 Charlton Athletic
  5. 13 Mar 2016 Charlton Athletic 2–0 Middlesbrough

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.