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Match prediction · Championship

Charlton Athletic vs Norwich City

Sat 24 Oct · 12:30 UK time · The Valley

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Charlton Athletic Home +1.5

For this to come in, Charlton Athletic must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 79%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Charlton Athletic

W0 D3 L2
  1. ✓ 0–0
  2. ✓ 1–3
  3. ✓ 1–1
  4. ✕ 2–2
  5. ✕ 0–2

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

Show matchesHide matches
  1. L 0–2 at Watford Charlton Athletic Away +1.5 ✕
  2. D 2–2 at Burnley Burnley win ✕
  3. D 1–1 v Bristol City Charlton Athletic Home +1.5 ✓
  4. L 1–3 at Cardiff City Either team to win ✓
  5. D 0–0 v Portsmouth Portsmouth Away +1.5 ✓

Norwich City

W0 D0 L5
  1. ✓ 3–4
  2. ✕ 3–4
  3. ✓ 1–2
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✕ 0–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. L 0–1 v Portsmouth Norwich City or draw ✕
  2. L 0–1 v Southampton Norwich City Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–2 at Swansea City Norwich City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 3–4 v Bolton Wanderers Norwich City win ✕
  5. L 3–4 at Middlesbrough Either team to win ✓

Last meetings

Charlton Athletic wins 1 Draws 0 Norwich City wins 3
  1. 21 Mar 2026 Charlton Athletic 0–1 Norwich City
  2. 26 Dec 2025 Norwich City 1–0 Charlton Athletic
  3. 10 Feb 2015 Charlton Athletic 2–3 Norwich City
  4. 30 Sep 2014 Norwich City 0–1 Charlton Athletic

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.