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Match prediction · Championship

Swansea City vs Norwich City

Sat 10 Oct · 12:30 UK time

Our call Handicap | Fulltime
Norwich City Away +1.5

For this to come in, Norwich City must not lose by 2 or more goals.

Model confidence 83%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Swansea City

W3 D1 L1
  1. ✕ 2–0
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 1–3
  4. ✓ 3–1
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 2–1 at Lincoln City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 3–1 v Burnley Swansea City Home +1.5 ✓
  3. L 1–3 at Southampton Southampton win ✓
  4. D 0–0 v Wrexham Wrexham Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–0 v Watford Watford Away +1.5 ✕

Norwich City

W2 D0 L3
  1. ✓ 0–1
  2. ✓ 3–1
  3. ✓ 2–1
  4. ✓ 3–4
  5. ✕ 3–4

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. L 3–4 v Bolton Wanderers Norwich City win ✕
  2. L 3–4 at Middlesbrough Either team to win ✓
  3. W 2–1 v Birmingham City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. W 3–1 at Sheffield United Norwich City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. L 0–1 at Stoke City Stoke City Home +1.5 ✓

Last meetings

Swansea City wins 2 Draws 2 Norwich City wins 1
  1. 25 Apr 2026 Norwich City 1–1 Swansea City
  2. 25 Oct 2025 Swansea City 2–1 Norwich City
  3. 25 Jan 2025 Norwich City 5–1 Swansea City
  4. 14 Sep 2024 Swansea City 1–0 Norwich City
  5. 27 Apr 2024 Norwich City 2–2 Swansea City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.