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Match prediction · Championship

Norwich City vs Portsmouth

Sat 17 Oct · 15:00 UK time · Carrow Road

Our call 1X
Norwich City or draw

For this to come in, Norwich City must win or draw.

Model confidence 77%

Match analysis

Written when the call was published: the evidence for it, the evidence against it, and what could undo it.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Norwich City

W1 D0 L4
  1. ✓ 2–1
  2. ✓ 3–4
  3. ✕ 3–4
  4. ✓ 1–2
  5. ✓ 0–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. L 0–1 v Southampton Norwich City Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 1–2 at Swansea City Norwich City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. L 3–4 v Bolton Wanderers Norwich City win ✕
  4. L 3–4 at Middlesbrough Either team to win ✓
  5. W 2–1 v Birmingham City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓

Portsmouth

W2 D2 L1
  1. ✕ 2–0
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✓ 2–2
  4. ✓ 0–1
  5. ✓ 3–2

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 3–2 v Sheffield United Portsmouth Home +1.5 ✓
  2. L 0–1 at Southampton Southampton win ✓
  3. D 2–2 v Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers Away +1.5 ✓
  4. D 0–0 at Charlton Athletic Portsmouth Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 2–0 v Cardiff City Cardiff City Away +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

Norwich City wins 2 Draws 2 Portsmouth wins 1
  1. 3 Apr 2026 Norwich City 1–1 Portsmouth
  2. 16 Aug 2025 Portsmouth 1–2 Norwich City
  3. 18 Apr 2025 Norwich City 3–5 Portsmouth
  4. 10 Dec 2024 Portsmouth 0–0 Norwich City
  5. 2 May 2011 Portsmouth 0–1 Norwich City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.