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Match prediction · Championship

Stoke City vs Birmingham City

Sat 21 Nov · 15:00 UK time · bet365 Stadium

Our call

Published on matchday at 06:00 UTC, before kick-off. Every call is graded after the match.

Recent form

Each side's last five league games this season, oldest to latest, with our call on each.

Stoke City

W4 D1 L0
  1. ✓ 1–0
  2. ✓ 0–0
  3. ✕ 2–0
  4. ✓ 2–1
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 4 of 5 came in

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  1. W 2–1 at Portsmouth Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 2–1 at Blackburn Rovers Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓
  3. W 2–0 v Preston North End Preston North End Away +1.5 ✕
  4. D 0–0 v Bristol City Bristol City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 1–0 at Derby County Stoke City Away +1.5 ✓

Birmingham City

W4 D0 L1
  1. ✕ 3–0
  2. ✓ 0–1
  3. ✓ 3–1
  4. ✕ 3–0
  5. ✓ 2–1

Our calls: 3 of 5 came in

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  1. W 2–1 v Swansea City Swansea City Away +1.5 ✓
  2. W 3–0 v Millwall Millwall Away +1.5 ✕
  3. W 3–1 at Lincoln City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  4. L 0–1 at Cardiff City Birmingham City Away +1.5 ✓
  5. W 3–0 v Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers Away +1.5 ✕

Last meetings

Stoke City wins 2 Draws 2 Birmingham City wins 1
  1. 24 Jan 2026 Birmingham City 1–1 Stoke City
  2. 13 Sep 2025 Stoke City 1–0 Birmingham City
  3. 20 Jan 2024 Stoke City 1–2 Birmingham City
  4. 26 Dec 2023 Birmingham City 1–3 Stoke City
  5. 10 Apr 2023 Birmingham City 0–0 Stoke City

Confidence is the probability the model gave the call when it was published. It is uncalibrated and it is not a price. Strike rate, the share of graded calls that came in, is the whole claim: today's calls and the record.